MULTIPOLARITY AFTER UKRAINE

OLD WINE IN NEW BOTTLES?

One year after the full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the war has exacerbated the rift between Russia and the “collective West”. While Western governments have been steadfast in punishing Russia for the invasion, other countries around the world have been more ambiguous, at times even choosing to side with Moscow politically or economically. These dynamics have revived the idea of a shift towards multipolarity along an anti-Western trajectory.

Are we really heading in that direction? Are we facing increasing fragmentation due to the war or a re-consolidation of longstanding alliances? What principles underlie the formation of these blocs? What are the consequences of these dynamics for global security and the global economy?

This Report aims to shed light on these questions, while also outlining the war’s possible future implications for the Russian Federation, the “West”, and the international order.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Introduction, Paolo Magri - ISPI Executive Vice President

1. After the Ukraine War: Liberal Order Revisited
Zachary Paikin - Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS)

2. What Role for Russia in a Multipolar World?
Richard Sakwa - University of Kent

3. Lessons from the Ukraine War: Decoupling and Diversification
Rem Korteweg - Clingendael Institute

4. Russia-China Relations After the Invasion of Ukraine
Sarah Kirchberger - Institute for Security Policy at Kiel University (ISPK)

5. The SCO: Geopolitical Bloc, Normative Order, or Pragmatic Platform?
Filippo Costa Buranelli - University of St. Andrews
Eleonora Tafuro Ambrosetti - ISPI

6. Propaganda, Digital Diplomacy, Meme Wars: How Digital Confrontation Is Shaping the New World Order

İdil Galip - University of Amsterdam

Conclusions

Aldo Ferrari - Ca' Foscari University (Venice) and ISPI

Eleonora Tafuro Ambrosetti - ISPI

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Report edited by

Aldo Ferrari, ISPI and Ca' Foscari University Venice

Eleonora Tafuro Ambrosetti, ISPI

ISPI - Italian Institute for International Political Studies

Via Clerici, 5 - 20121 Milan

Tel.: +39 (0)2 86 33 131

ispi.segreteria@ispionline.it